Atalanta vs Parma prediction: Bergamo hosts a struggling Parma

Atalanta

Parma

🏆 Serie A🕒 Kick-off: 02.11.2026 · 20:45 WAT / 22:45 EAT

Atalanta host Parma at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo on Monday 2 November, kicking off at 19:45 UTC in Serie A. This Atalanta vs Parma prediction covers recent form, the head-to-head record, injuries and the odds, and explains why we like the home side at 1.56.

Our predictionAtalanta to win

1.56

Do you agree with this prediction?

Recent form: an inconsistent Atalanta and a Parma in trouble

Atalanta sit 12th with 11 points from nine league games: three wins, two draws and four defeats. They have scored 16 and conceded 17, which points to a leaky defence. Their latest results include a 3-2 defeat at Milan and draws with Frosinone (4-4) and Fiorentina (2-2), so they have gone three league games without a win.

Parma are in the relegation zone with five points and only one win from nine matches. They have scored just five goals, the fewest in Serie A this season, and have lost all four of their away league games. Their last away win came at Udinese, a 1-0 success on 18 April 2026.

Head-to-head: the record leans towards the home side

The numbers favour Atalanta. They have won seven of the last ten meetings with Parma and five of the last six Serie A games at the New Balance Arena. The most recent meeting ended 4-0 to Atalanta on 25 January 2026.

The previous meeting in Parma, on 30 August 2025, finished 1-1. Earlier, on 23 November 2024, Atalanta won 3-1 away from home.

Team news and absences

Atalanta's injury list is long. Raspadori, Scamacca, Bellanova (thigh), Hien, Kolasinac, Kossounou and Gaetano are all sidelined. Kessie and Kristensen are doubtful, and sources disagree on Kristensen's status. Krstovic, on six league goals, is expected to lead the attack.

For Parma, Valenti and Elphege face late fitness tests, so their availability is uncertain. Touré, who is on loan from Atalanta, is not expected to be available.

What to expect on the pitch

We expect Atalanta to control possession and create plenty of chances, although their defence will be tested. Parma have scored little, and in their last six away league games they have found the net only twice. Both sides have gone over 2.5 goals in five of their last six matches, so goals are not hard to come by.

Odds quoted in the previews sit around 1.45 to 1.52 for an Atalanta win, roughly 4.20 to 4.68 for a draw and 6.50 to 6.85 for a Parma win. Our 1.56 price is slightly above that range, which makes the bet more appealing if it holds.

Our prediction

Our pick: Atalanta to win @ 1.56. The home side have a clear head-to-head edge and face a Parma team that has scored little and rarely wins away. The main risk is Atalanta's injuries and fragile defence, so we suggest moderate stakes. No bet is guaranteed, and prices can move before kickoff.

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