African TipsHammarby vs Sirius prediction: Allsvenskan leaders test the hosts
Hammarby
SiriusHammarby host league leaders Sirius at 3Arena on Thursday 29 October, kickoff 17:30 UTC, in round 26 of the Allsvenskan. This is a genuine title-race fixture, and our betting tips land on a single angle: Sirius over 0.5 goals at 1.44.
Head-to-head
| 13.04.26 | Sirius — Hammarby | 2-0 |
| 22.03.26 | Hammarby — Sirius | 3-3 |
| 24.08.25 | Sirius — Hammarby | 3-1 |
| 14.05.25 | Hammarby — Sirius | 3-2 |
| 26.10.24 | Sirius — Hammarby | 0-3 |
Form: leaders on momentum, hosts on consistency
Sirius top the table with 55 points from 25 matches. Their latest league game slipped away late, when Elfsborg equalised in the closing minutes and ended a run that could have brought a fifth straight win.
Hammarby sit second on 49 points, with 15 wins, four draws and six defeats from 25 games. Swedish preview sites note four wins from their last five league matches. Away at Halmstad they only got the job done in extra time, after a goalless 90 minutes, and they lost the derby to Djurgården.
Head-to-head: close, with goals
Across the five most recent meetings we could confirm, Sirius won twice, Hammarby won twice, and the Swedish Cup semi-final ended 3-3, with Hammarby going through on penalties. Sirius scored in four of those five games.
FootyStats, drawing on a wider record of 22 meetings, counts over 1.5 goals in 20 of them and over 2.5 in 15. That is useful background, though it does not replace the results above.
Team news: check before kickoff
Isak Bjerkebo is Hammarby's top scorer with 14 league goals and six assists. Flashscore also flags Otso Liimatta as a doubt through injury.
We could not confirm a full, verified list of absentees for either side. Swedish previews have raised questions over whether Nahir Besara starts, so check the official line-ups before the game.
Key numbers and what to expect
Flashscore's figures favour Hammarby's attack: 21 shots per match, the best in the league, and 7.7 on target. Their defence concedes just 2.8 shots on target per game, also the best rate in the league. Sirius average 5.5 shots on target.
That defensive solidity is the main risk to our pick. But Sirius do not need to win or score twice. One goal settles over 0.5, and Sirius found the net in four of the five meetings above. Their 55 points show a side that scores enough to stay on top.
On the market side, a Swedish site listed Hammarby at 1.57 to win, the draw at 4.90 and Sirius at 6.00 on the morning of the match. The market expects a home win, which is why we prefer a goals angle to a result bet.
Our prediction
Our pick is Sirius over 0.5 goals at 1.44. The price is short, but the logic is simple: a side chasing the title that has scored in most recent meetings, against a solid host that must keep a clean sheet. No profit is guaranteed. Stake responsibly and confirm the live odds before kickoff.
Every pick lands in the channel first — singles, accas and live bets.
FAQ
When and where is Hammarby vs Sirius played?
Thursday 29 October 2026 at 3Arena in Stockholm, kickoff 17:30 UTC (18:30 local time), in round 26 of the Allsvenskan.
What is your prediction?
Sirius over 0.5 goals at 1.44, meaning we expect at least one Sirius goal.
What odds are typical?
On the morning of the match, a Swedish site listed 1.57 for Hammarby, 4.90 for the draw and 6.00 for Sirius. Our over 0.5 goals price is 1.44. Odds vary by operator and move before kickoff, so check the live price.
