Monza vs Napoli Prediction: Serie A Preview and Betting Tips

Monza

Napoli

🏆 Serie A🕒 Kick-off: 28.10.2026 · 20:45 WAT / 22:45 EAT

Our Monza vs Napoli prediction for Matchday 9 of Serie A points to an open, entertaining game. Two leaky defences and two attacks in decent form make goals very likely. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.79.

Our predictionOver 2.5 goals

1.79

Do you agree with this prediction?

Recent form: Monza

23.10.26	Torino — Monza	3-2L
19.10.26	Monza — Cagliari	4-0W
11.10.26	Lazio — Monza	3-1L

Head-to-head

19.04.25	Monza — Napoli	0-1
29.09.24	Napoli — Monza	2-0

Monza form

Ivan Jurić's Monza sit 15th with 7 points from eight games. They have scored 15 and conceded 18.

Their latest outing was a 3-2 defeat at Torino. Before that they beat Cagliari 4-0 at home and lost 3-1 at Lazio.

At home they look far more dangerous: they have won their last two there (2-1 and 4-0), and 11 of their 15 league goals have come in four home games. They have scored in all eight league matches. Gustavo Varela has seven goals in seven appearances and leads the scoring charts.

Napoli form

Massimiliano Allegri's Napoli are 10th with 11 points, 13 goals scored and 10 conceded. They recently let a lead slip in a 3-3 draw with Roma.

Their last two competitive matches finished 4-3 and 3-3, and they have conceded 10 goals in their last four. They are also winless in four away matches across all competitions.

Up front they have plenty of quality: McTominay, Højlund, Politano and Anguissa all carry a threat, and De Bruyne has three goals this season.

Head-to-head

History favours Napoli, who have won the last three Serie A meetings (1-0, 2-0 and 4-2). The most recent was a 1-0 win at Monza on 19 April 2025, and before that a 2-0 home win on 29 September 2024.

Not all of those games were high-scoring, but both sides now look far less stable at the back.

Team news

Allegri is suspended and will miss the game from the touchline. Napoli's injury list remains long, with Badiashile and Spinazzola among the latest setbacks.

For Monza, Pessina and Ziółkowski are out, while Maye and Touré face late fitness tests. Check the confirmed line-ups close to kick-off at 19:45 UTC.

What to expect

Monza press aggressively and leave space behind, while Napoli have been conceding regularly. Add Varela's form and the visitors' individual quality, and this should be a game of quick transitions.

Odds of 1.79 on Over 2.5 goals look fair for that profile.

Our prediction

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.79. Monza have scored in every league game and have shipped 18 goals, while Napoli have played out 4-3 and 3-3 thrillers and are leaking goals, especially on the road. With Varela in form and quality in the Napoli attack, three or more goals is a very plausible outcome. Bet responsibly: no bet is ever guaranteed.

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