Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction: La Liga preview and our tip

Rayo Vallecano

Celta Vigo

🏆 La Liga🕒 Kick-off: 31.10.2026 · 16:15 WAT / 18:15 EAT

Rayo Vallecano host Celta Vigo at Estadio de Vallecas on Saturday 31 October 2026, kickoff 15:15 UTC, in matchday 11 of La Liga. Rayo are 16th and Celta ninth, but recent form and the injury list tell a more interesting story. Here is our Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction, with our betting tip: Both teams to score at 1.81.

Our predictionBoth teams to score

1.81

Do you agree with this prediction?

Form: Rayo struggling, Celta steady

Rayo have nine points from nine league games and have conceded 20 goals, which one statistical review ranks as the second-worst defence in La Liga. Their last league outing was a 3-0 defeat to Elche, and they have won only one of their last five league matches. A cup win over Recreativo brought some relief, but the problem at the back has not gone away.

Celta have 12 points from ten games, and their latest match was a goalless draw with Real Betis. Sources disagree on how long their unbeaten run is, anywhere from three to seven league matches, but the pattern is consistent: hard to beat and often drawing. Their defence has conceded seven times this season, while their attack has only ten goals to show for it.

Head-to-head: a tight rivalry

The most recent meeting went to Celta, who won 3-0 on 18 January 2026. Before that, the teams drew 1-1 on 21 September 2025. Rayo won both 2024-25 meetings: 2-1 at Vallecas in January 2025 and 1-2 at Celta in May 2025.

Overall the record is close, although the sources we checked disagree on exact totals. Three of the last five league meetings at Vallecas ended 0-0, a useful reminder that this fixture does not always produce goals.

Team news: big absences on both sides

Rayo are without Pathé Ciss, who is suspended, and without Augusto Batalla and Luiz Felipe through injury. Andrei Rațiu is a doubt. Celta are missing Borja Iglesias, Carl Starfelt, Álvaro Núñez, Miguel Román and Jones El-Abdellaoui. Iglesias is one of their key attacking options, so his absence matters.

Key stats and what to expect

Here is where our pick comes from. Rayo have conceded in ten consecutive league matches, and nine of their ten league games this season have seen both teams score. Rayo have also scored 12 times, more than Celta's 10.

The counter-argument is Celta's attack. Without Iglesias they have struggled to score, and their away league games have often finished under 2.5 goals. At 1.81 the price implies roughly a 55% chance, so the bet only pays off over time if the true probability is higher. We think it is, though not by a wide margin.

Our prediction

Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.81. Rayo's defence is the main reason: a side that has conceded in ten straight league matches gives the visitors a realistic route to scoring, and Rayo have enough attacking output to hurt Celta too. The risk is Celta's thin attack and the chance of a tight 1-0 or a 0-0. This is a considered angle, not a guaranteed result, so stake responsibly.

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FAQ

When and where is Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo played?

Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:15 UTC at Estadio de Vallecas in Madrid, as part of La Liga matchday 11.

What is your prediction?

Both teams to score at 1.81, for the reasons explained above.

What are the typical odds?

Prices vary by bookmaker and shift with team news. Rayo are the market favourites, with an implied probability of about 44% on the match result; 1.81 is our reference price for the tip.