African TipsSantos vs Palmeiras prediction: preview and betting tips
Santos
PalmeirasSantos host Palmeiras on Wednesday 28 October at 22:30 GMT, at Vila Belmiro in Santos, in Round 33 of the Brasileirão Serie A. Our preview covers form, head-to-head, team news and the odds, and our tip is Over 1.5 goals @ 1.25.
Form: where both teams stand
Santos are eighth with 46 points and still chasing a Copa Libertadores place. Their latest league game finished 1-1 against Bahia, with Luan Peres equalising in added time. Over 32 league matches they have scored 49 and conceded 47, so their defence has been leaky.
Palmeiras sit in the top two with 69 points and are in the title race. They have 20 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats, with 56 goals scored and 22 conceded. Some sources list them top and others second, so check the live table. We could not confirm each side's last five results, so we rely on season totals.
Head-to-head: Palmeiras hold the edge
Palmeiras have the upper hand. They won 3-0 at home in this season's Copa do Brasil, then the return meeting in September ended 0-0 at Vila Belmiro. A 1-1 draw in the league in May and a 1-0 win in the Paulistão complete the recent picture. Across all official meetings Palmeiras have 156 wins, 94 draws and 109 defeats in 359 games. The goalless draw is the main risk to our pick.
Team news
Palmeiras get a boost: Vitor Roque is back after missing three matches with an ankle sprain, and Joaquín Piquerez and Andreas Pereira return from suspension. Santos have not confirmed a starting XI from coach Cuca, and injury reports are mixed, so check official line-ups before kick-off. Gabigol, with 15 league goals, is their main threat.
Odds, key stats and our tip
Prices differ by bookmaker, but the sources we checked put Palmeiras around 2.20 to 2.40, Santos near 2.90 to 3.30 and the draw between 3.20 and 3.50. Over 1.5 goals has been available around 1.29 at the best price we saw.
Previews expect a few goals: one model says 1-2, another 1-1, and a third sees up to 2-3. Palmeiras score freely away from home and Santos concede often, so two goals in total is a sensible target. Our pick is Over 1.5 goals @ 1.25. At this price the market already rates it likely, so the value is modest, and a 0-0 or 1-0 would lose.
Our prediction
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals @ 1.25. It is not a guaranteed result. Both attacks have threats, Santos' defensive record makes an open game plausible, and only a very tight finish would sink it. Keep stakes small and bet responsibly.
Every pick lands in the channel first — singles, accas and live bets.
FAQ
When and where is Santos vs Palmeiras played?
Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 22:30 GMT (19:30 Brasília time) at Vila Belmiro in Santos. Premiere shows it on pay-per-view.
What is your prediction?
Over 1.5 goals @ 1.25, since two goals in total look more likely than not.
What are the typical odds?
Palmeiras about 2.20 to 2.40, Santos near 2.90 to 3.30, draw 3.20 to 3.50; Over 1.5 goals around 1.29 at the best prices. Check your bookmaker before betting.
